Experts Weigh In on Post-COVID Housing Market

Despite the obvious slow down in real estate market, experts are quite optimistic that the real estate market will pick right back up once COVID-19 resolves, especially in a market like Boston. With an already limited housing supply, experts also don’t expect a big dip in housing prices either. “Once the economy can return to normal, and people can get back to normal, I think the fundamental shortage of homes will still be there. That’s why I don’t see much prospect for prices to fall very far as a consequence of this,” said Jeff Tucker, a Zillow economist.

In the meantime, real estate agents are getting creative with virtual tours and other ways of “showing” properties with prospective buyers and tenants and the City of Boston has created a fund to help tenants pay rent. For more details about the current and future housing market, click here.

Will COVID-19 Affect the Housing Market?

There is a lot of speculation as to what may happen to the housing market in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic. After the 2008 recession, it is easy to imagine a similar scenario where housing prices drop drastically and properties sell for a fraction of what they were valued at prior to the recession. However, there is a major difference between the 2008 recession and the potential recession caused by coronavirus, as explained in a recent Curbed article — the 2008 recession was caused by the collapse of the housing market, whereas coronavirus is causing many markets to essentially freeze until further notice. So, what can we expect to happen? Ultimately, we agree with the author’s main conclusion - it’s too soon to tell what the effects of COVID-19 will be on the housing market, but click here to read through a few scenarios you may find yourself in if there is a recession.

Are Lenders Justified in Being Wary of Modular Construction?

Any developer who has explored building a project modularly instead of on-site has likely run into trouble finding a lender to work with. In general, lenders are far less familiar with modular construction and therefore are hesitant to lend money for such projects despite the major benefits of projects being built faster and for less money. Compared to on-site construction, modular construction requires a lot of capital early on because both site work and modular building are happening simultaneously. Lenders are also wary of the risk involved in transporting the modules from the factory to the final site. For these reasons and more, lenders are not as willing to fund modular projects even though “modular construction could claim $130 billion worth of the combined U.S. and European construction markets by 2030.” Click here to read more about the lending climate for modular construction.

Where Is the Housing Market Headed?

New data about the national housing market shows some positive signs that the market is growing steadily again. Prices of existing homes rose 6.2 percent, building permits (an indication of new homes being built) increased 5 percent, and mortgage rates are low at 3.66 percent, according to a recent Fox Business report. See what some experts have to say about these indicators by clicking here.

The Effects of Falling Mortgage Rates

“Lenders extended $700 billion of home loans in the July-to-September quarter, the most in 14 years, according to industry research group Inside Mortgage Finance,” as was reported in a recent Wall Street Journal article. The authors suggest that the spike in home loans is due to falling mortgage interest rates. Many homeowners have taken advantage of the low rates by refinancing their home loans. In addition, home sales have risen on an annual basis, but not as much as expected, possibly due to the lead time it takes to find and close on a home once someone has decided to take advantage of the low rates and actually buy a home. For more analysis on the causes and effects of falling mortgage rates, click here.

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